Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.222439 0.259345 0.300177 0.348665 0.404635 0.467178 0.542332
2025-04-20 0.161631 0.211006 0.271706 0.351629 0.453903 0.580195 0.747794
2025-04-27 0.134864 0.190940 0.265265 0.370570 0.515471 0.707349 0.980181
2025-05-04 0.114766 0.173692 0.256762 0.381704 0.564051 0.819511 1.203449
2025-05-11 0.098117 0.157427 0.245660 0.385447 0.600124 0.915837 1.413446
2025-05-18 0.084009 0.142110 0.232848 0.383482 0.625621 0.997481 1.608921
2025-05-25 0.072127 0.128126 0.219589 0.378097 0.643773 1.068235 1.793573
2025-06-01 0.062941 0.117019 0.209099 0.375160 0.664449 1.143758 1.992294
2025-06-08 0.053794 0.104479 0.194290 0.362532 0.666580 1.188022 2.142537
2025-06-15 0.051349 0.103680 0.199745 0.385855 0.733269 1.347440 2.505185
2025-06-22 0.044456 0.093403 0.186555 0.373310 0.733589 1.390383 2.665763
2025-06-29 0.038426 0.083900 0.173513 0.359201 0.728924 1.423090 2.809838
2025-07-06 0.033330 0.075666 0.162084 0.347212 0.727727 1.463577 2.975958
2025-07-13 0.030397 0.071601 0.158558 0.350779 0.757864 1.567227 3.275539
2025-07-20 0.029152 0.071053 0.162237 0.369712 0.821330 1.742326 3.734127
2025-07-27 0.027357 0.068967 0.162307 0.380823 0.869492 1.891194 4.154070
2025-08-03 0.025193 0.065673 0.159247 0.384558 0.902010 2.010727 4.524441
2025-08-10 0.022885 0.061666 0.154008 0.382597 0.921483 2.104205 4.847818
2025-08-17 0.020628 0.057433 0.147670 0.377224 0.932465 2.180129 5.139994
2025-08-24 0.018765 0.053932 0.142628 0.374294 0.948697 2.269022 5.469484
2025-08-31 0.016601 0.049282 0.134114 0.361693 0.940299 2.301113 5.672199
2025-09-07 0.016408 0.050050 0.139514 0.384965 1.022239 2.549984 6.403816
2025-09-14 0.014585 0.045898 0.131501 0.372448 1.013161 2.582929 6.625105